Boys -
Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2004
-
2005 -
2006
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Regional Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
| School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
|---|
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
|---|
| Northridge |
100.0% |
1.3 |
43 |
20 |
86 |
76.4 |
19.4 |
3.5 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Elkhart Memorial |
100.0% |
2.1 |
55 |
21 |
100 |
19.9 |
54.1 |
20.1 |
5.5 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| West Noble |
100.0% |
3.2 |
69 |
32 |
110 |
2.2 |
16.8 |
45.8 |
28.0 |
7.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| DeKalb |
100.0% |
3.6 |
74 |
35 |
112 |
1.5 |
9.3 |
26.6 |
52.8 |
9.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Elkhart Central |
100.0% |
4.8 |
96 |
52 |
131 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
4.1 |
13.0 |
82.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
|---|
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
| Loren Spirito |
Northridge |
16:02 |
100.0% |
1.0 |
69.8 |
20.8 |
6.1 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Matt Hammersmith |
Prairie Heights |
16:13 |
100.0% |
1.7 |
21.4 |
39.6 |
18.1 |
9.8 |
5.3 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jaurice Dye |
Elkhart Memorial |
16:24 |
100.0% |
3.4 |
4.6 |
15.8 |
22.5 |
17.3 |
13.5 |
9.1 |
7.0 |
4.6 |
2.8 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Randy Placencia |
Garrett |
16:31 |
100.0% |
5.1 |
1.6 |
5.9 |
12.7 |
14.2 |
14.4 |
12.9 |
10.5 |
9.1 |
6.3 |
5.0 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Ryan Smythe |
Wawasee |
16:31 |
100.0% |
5.1 |
1.4 |
6.0 |
12.4 |
14.8 |
14.4 |
13.2 |
10.8 |
8.6 |
6.3 |
4.9 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Nathan Morrow |
DeKalb |
16:32 |
100.0% |
5.3 |
1.1 |
5.4 |
11.1 |
13.8 |
14.8 |
13.5 |
11.5 |
10.0 |
7.0 |
4.8 |
3.4 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Ladd Mercer |
Northridge |
16:33 |
100.0% |
5.4 |
0.0 |
4.8 |
10.7 |
14.2 |
14.0 |
14.4 |
12.0 |
9.8 |
7.8 |
5.1 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Andy Williams |
Northridge |
16:41 |
100.0% |
7.9 |
|
0.6 |
2.1 |
4.9 |
7.7 |
10.3 |
13.1 |
13.0 |
11.7 |
10.2 |
8.5 |
6.9 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Chuck Wysong |
West Noble |
16:43 |
100.0% |
8.6 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.1 |
3.9 |
6.3 |
8.1 |
10.0 |
11.4 |
12.2 |
12.3 |
9.7 |
7.5 |
6.1 |
4.1 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
